The model gives this bet a 61% chance of winning and an expected ROI of 15%. Star offensive tackle Taylor Lewan was carted off with an injury and has been ruled out for Sunday’s contest. Joining him in exiting Free Football Predictions & Betting Tips Monday’s game early were cornerback Caleb Farley and wideout Julio Jones. The former is done for the season with an ACL tear and the latter is questionable to play this week. The injury to Farley could prove extremely detrimental in this week’s NFL betting matchup against the Chiefs.
Denver was another one of those teams that just could not get going until it was too late. They went down by 21 to the Las Vegas Raiders before mounting a bit of a charge in the fourth quarter. Kyler Murray is a top-two QB option this week and is cash-viable in a matchup with the Texans in which the Cardinals are implied by the Vegas odds to score 32.75 points, second-highest on the slate.
Brissett played well in the win over San Francisco throwing for 314 yards and a touchdown. Without Luck, the Colts offense has been lackluster scoring just 19.4 points per game . Julius Peppers leads the team with 5.5 sacks and Kawaan Short and Mario Addison each have three. Carolina is third overall in the league giving up just 274 total yards per game and eighth in scoring defense yielding 18.8 points. Carolina could take a page from the Eagles’ playbook and do a better job of running the ball.
Let’s look ahead to this game with the odds and a prediction as Cleveland hopes to get back on track in prime time. There has been little to know pressure for multiple weeks now and that is putting enough stress on the secondary that we’re starting to see breakdowns in coverages and big plays. The problems just keep mounting for the Denver Broncos just six games into the season. Following the Denver game, Clevelands will have a couple of divisional games. They play Pittsburgh and Cincinnati over the next two weeks which will be their first AFC North games of the season. This game script sets up similarly with the Bucs implied by the Vegas lines to put up 29 points.
Tom Brady and Peyton Manning will meet in the AFC Conference Championship once again, which essentially seems like tradition at this point. Tom Brady is only 2-6 at Mile High Stadium, and it looks to be cold and unforgiving weather in the early forecast for next Sunday. That stout Broncos defense will look to make sure that streak is pushed to 2-7, while Brady and company seem to have their offense healthy after many weeks of starters missing time. It should be another epic showdown between the two future Hall of Famers. There have been a lot of great opportunities for gamblers to make money with our prop bets as well. While Kansas City did give up some yards on the ground, their defense played on a different level.
This is not great news for Carr’s upside since he doesn’t run, but it is good news for Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow, who are top two on the team in targets, catches and yards vs. zone. Waller is a nice pivot off Kelce in GPPs while Renfrow is cash-viable. Dallas Goedert is second on the team with 132 receiving yards vs. zone looks and is a high-upside GPP option with Zach Ertz now in Arizona. The Raiders are ranked 23rd in DVOA vs. TEs and have allowed 75.4 schedule-adjusted receiving yards per game to the position (fifth-most). Due to the matchp, Jalen Reagor and Quez Watkins should end up playing second-fiddle to Smith and Goedert in the passing game.
The Chargers (10-3) trail by just a game and have been one of the NFL’s hottest teams this season with nine wins in their last ten games. Their only loss was by a single point to division rival Denver. Their only loss came to one of the two teams that lead the AFC West. On Saturday, they will face the other – the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers clinched a playoff berth with a win over Kansas City last week.
This may be a prove-it game for Tua Tagovailoa with Deshaun Watson trade rumors swirling. Tagovailoa will likely be a popular low-cost option, but I’d rather Ryan in this game. Head coach Brian Flores will likely get back to the run after the Dolphins had 48 pass attempts and only 20 runs in a loss to the lowly Jaguars despite leading most of the game.